Will Scott Bessent say “Oil”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Oil” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Oil
- Probability
- 72% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more resilient to energy…
…the gas stations because they raised prices very quickly when the crude oil prices went up. We hope they'll bring them down just as quickly…
…Secretary Doug Burgum are working hard on that effort every single day. Oil and gas prices are now way down because of this bold approach.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Oil”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Oil” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Oil” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP