Will Scott Bessent say “Middle Class”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Middle Class” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Middle Class
- Probability
- 50% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 3 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Republicans delivered, passing the largest tax cut in history for working in middle class Americans, including no tax on tips, overtime, and social security. They…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…this is a mess that has been created for the past four decades that has sold out the middle class, that has moved jobs overseas.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Middle Class |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Middle Class | Kalshi | No |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Middle Class | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Middle Class”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Middle Class” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Middle Class” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Middle Class’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/middle-class (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=middle%20class · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP