Will Scott Bessent say “Nuclear”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Nuclear” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

70%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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Scott Bessent

Nuclear

Probability
70% · n=4
Settled
4/4 (100%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 5:43In transcript

…has to turn over their highly enriched uranium. They cannot pursue a nuclear weapon. And the Strait of Hormuz, back to your question on energy,…

The PressreporterPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 14:15In transcript

…or died since mid 2024. They all reportedly had access to classified nuclear or aerospace material. Is anybody investigating this to see if these things…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 23, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
Aug 24, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
May 29, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
May 28, 2026NuclearKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Nuclear” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Nuclear” next time?
70%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP