Will Scott Bessent say “Manufacturing”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Manufacturing” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (43%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

48%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

Manufacturing

Probability
48% · n=7
Settled
3/7 (43%)
Last 3 press briefings
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kelly LoefflerspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 7:16In transcript

…rocket fuel to create one million new jobs. Eric Williams at Prince Manufacturing in rural Georgia, he specializes in fabrication and machining. This year, he's…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Scott BessentspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt and Scott Bessent Brief Members of the Media, Apr. 29, 2025 · Apr 29, 2025 · 9:09In transcript

…it is something that got put away a long time ago. And I think that tariffs will bring back American manufacturing and generate substantial revenues.

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 15, 2026ManufacturingKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026ManufacturingKalshiYes–
Jan 22, 2026ManufacturingKalshiYes–
Jan 21, 2026ManufacturingKalshiNo–
Dec 8, 2025ManufacturingKalshiNo–
Dec 4, 2025ManufacturingKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2025ManufacturingKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Manufacturing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Manufacturing” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (43%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Manufacturing” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Manufacturing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/manufacturing (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=manufacturing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP