Will Scott Bessent say “Rare Earth / Mineral”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Rare Earth / Mineral” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=mineral%20%2F%20rare%20earth

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

Rare Earth / Mineral

Probability
40% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 0 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 24, 2026Rare Earth / MineralKalshiNo
May 29, 2026Rare Earth / MineralKalshiYes
May 14, 2026Rare Earth / MineralKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Rare Earth / Mineral”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Rare Earth / Mineral” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 29, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Rare Earth / Mineral” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Rare Earth / Mineral’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/mineral-or-rare-earth (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=mineral%20%2F%20rare%20earth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP