Will Scott Bessent say “America First”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “America First” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
America First
- Probability
- 34% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
And look, again, this is the America first, Americans, hardworking Americans keeping more of their money, just like with our small businesses. If we go…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | America First |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 26, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
| May 29, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 28, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “America First”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “America First” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “America First” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP