Will Scott Bessent say “Productivity”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Productivity” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Productivity
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…offering overtime or that people are working more overtime and increasing their productivity? And the second question, the health insurance industry is advertising heavily in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Productivity |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Productivity | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Productivity | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Productivity”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Productivity” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Productivity” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Productivity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/productivity (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=productivity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP