Will Scott Bessent say “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceScott Bessent
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency
- Probability
- 29% · n=12
- Settled
- 3/12 (25%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Yes | |
| May 29, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Yes | |
| May 28, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Void (did not qualify) | |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | Yes | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/bitcoin-or-crypto-or-cryptocurrency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto%20%2F%20cryptocurrency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP