Will Scott Bessent say “Tax Cut”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax Cut” at 6 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (46%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Tax Cut
- Probability
- 58% · n=13
- Settled
- 6/13 (46%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of you to go to trumpaccount.gov to sign up. We had an historic tax filing season. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history.
…American people. Thanks to promises made, promises kept through the Working Families Tax Cuts, the president has delivered the record refunds to the American people.…
…is moving forward. It is going to give permanence to the 2017 Tax Cuts and Job Act, which, back to the question on certainty, it…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Tax Cut |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 29, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 28, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 14, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Tax Cut | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Tax Cut”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax Cut” at 6 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (46%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Tax Cut” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Tax Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/tax-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=tax%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP