Scott Bessent: Press briefing, May 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing?
Markets
27 words · 19 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | Yes | 69%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Main Street | Yes | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Warsh | Yes | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump Account | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax Cut | Yes | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| GDP | Yes | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 30%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | No | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 57%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockade | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economic Fury | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAY28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP