Scott Bessent: Keynote, Jun 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | Yes | 74%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 72%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 70%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | Yes | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Main Street | Yes | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tax Cut | Yes | 53%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 39%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 73%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 51%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JUN26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP