Will Scott Bessent say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Inflation” at 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (91%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Inflation
- Probability
- 70% · n=11
- Settled
- 10/11 (91%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had my first breakfast with Chair Warsh this morning, and I believe that he will do the right thing to balance inflation and growth. Yep.
…pockets of hardworking families. Small businesses are rebounding from years of Biden inflation, decades of unfair trade, and massive regulatory overreach. But thanks to President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Yeah, I would also add that bringing down the terrible Biden inflation has been a priority for the first 100 days of the Trump administration.…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Inflation |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 29, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 28, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Inflation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Inflation” at 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (91%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Inflation” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP