Will Scott Bessent say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (86%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 6/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Manufacture / Manufacturing
- Probability
- 70% · n=7
- Settled
- 6/7 (86%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…rocket fuel to create one million new jobs. Eric Williams at Prince Manufacturing in rural Georgia, he specializes in fabrication and machining. This year, he's…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…it is something that got put away a long time ago. And I think that tariffs will bring back American manufacturing and generate substantial revenues.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 29, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 28, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | No |
| May 14, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (86%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Manufacture / Manufacturing” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Manufacture / Manufacturing’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/manufacture-or-manufacturing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=manufacture%20%2F%20manufacturing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP