Scott Bessent: Hearing, Jun 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing?
Markets
14 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | Yes | 73%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 66%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Account | Yes | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 57%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| GDP | Yes | 47%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Economic Fury | Yes | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Yes | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Warsh | No | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 43%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 35%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JUN03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP