Will Scott Bessent say “Trump” 5+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” 5+ times at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Trump (5+ times)
- Probability
- 64% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…don't want anyone yelling reclaim my time. So, let's start out with Trump accounts. Trump accounts, I believe, are the most important benefit for young…
…this calendar year. So with that, we have also seen with the Trump Accounts, we have had five million families file for Trump Accounts for…
…few weeks. Many of them have already come to Washington. What President Trump is referring to is the ability for tariff revenue to give income…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | No | 4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Trump (5+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” 5+ times at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP