Will Scott Bessent say “Main Street”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Main Street” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Main Street
- Probability
- 68% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…States has never exported so much energy or produced so much energy. Main Street prosperity, the average 401(k) is up almost $30,000 since President Trump's…
…across the board in all areas. And as Kelly said, small business, Main Street are really the big beneficiaries. And this is what they don't…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Main Street |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 29, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 28, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 14, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Main Street | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Main Street”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Main Street” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Main Street” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Main Street’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/main-street (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=main%20street · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP