Will Scott Bessent say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (82%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 57% · n=11
- Settled
- 9/11 (82%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Natural gas is down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more…
…will see. And I'm optimistic that during the summer, we will see gas with a $3 in front of it sooner rather than later. It's…
…of leading that since January 20th. Interest rates, mortgage rates are down, gasoline and energy prices are down. We're expecting the further decreases, and as…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 29, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 28, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (82%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP