Donald Trump: Remarks, May 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Cabinet Meeting?
Polymarket What will Trump say during Cabinet meeting?
Markets
56 words · 31 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | Yes | 66%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | Yes | 61%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 61%n=152 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 60%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 58%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 57%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| First Term | Yes | 57%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRX | Yes | 55%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 55%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 54%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 53%n=148 from settlement history | – |
| Deal / Settle | Yes | 52%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 52%n=181 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 52%n=259 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | Yes | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | Yes | 48%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 48%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Job 20+ times | Yes | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 47%n=240 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 46%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Pool / Pond | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 40%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 38%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 38%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | Yes | 35%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 32%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 31%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 45%n=131 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 42%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fauci | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Letitia / James | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Test | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Deal 15+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vaccine | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 37%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Ken / Paxton | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blockade | No | 36%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | 36%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 33%n=155 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 32%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 32%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | No | 30%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Dust | No | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 27%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 24%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Ebola / COVID | No | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 18%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=380 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP