Will Donald Trump say “President Xi”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “President Xi” at 19 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (49%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=39, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
President Xi
- Probability
- 53% · n=39
- Settled
- 19/39 (49%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…participated much more strongly with Iran and, likewise, China. As you know, President Xi was here a week ago, likewise, China could have participated a…
…had it from 1592. 1592. That's not that old when you because President Xi from China was here. You know, I was showing him I…
…we had it for tomorrow night because we'd be able to—you know, we have a packed house tomorrow night for President Xi and Mrs. Xi.
Every settled listing
newest first · 40 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | President Xi |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 2, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 2, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| May 27, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 22, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 10, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 7, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 8, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 15, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 9, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | President Xi |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 21, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 19, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 7, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 6, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 28, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 23, 2025 | President Xi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 21, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Aug 19, 2025 | President Xi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 16, 2025 | President Xi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | President Xi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 10, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 7, 2025 | President Xi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “President Xi”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “President Xi” at 19 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (49%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “President Xi” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=39). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘President Xi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/president-xi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=president%20xi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP