Will Donald Trump say “Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gas / Gasoline” at 28 of 43 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 22, 2025 (65%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=43, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

59%from settlement history only · n=43counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Gas / Gasoline

Probability
59% · n=43
Settled
28/43 (65%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 49:49In transcript

…riding in and back and I'm looking at I'm looking at the gas pumps and I'm looking at the top said $185 a gallon. The…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 43:08In transcript

…going to wherever I was going, I looked over and passed two gas stations and I looked at the top of the pumps and it…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 22:10In transcript

Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:34:41In transcript

…we have tremendous support. You know, when people are unhappy with the gasoline -- I hate to sound trivial, but they say it themselves. It's…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 46 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 27, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes2
Jul 24, 2026Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes1
Jul 24, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes1
Jul 23, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes1
Jul 9, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jul 3, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Jul 2, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jul 1, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Jun 23, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes5
Jun 4, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes2
May 27, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 21, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 18, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
May 11, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 8, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
May 7, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Apr 21, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Apr 17, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 15, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 12, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 8, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Apr 6, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Apr 1, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 27, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 27, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 25, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 24, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 23, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 17, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 16, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 13, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 11, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Mar 9, 2026Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Mar 9, 2026Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Feb 27, 2026Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Feb 18, 2026Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Dec 25, 2025Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Dec 20, 2025Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Dec 4, 2025Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Nov 22, 2025Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gas / Gasoline” at 28 of 43 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 22, 2025 (65%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gas / Gasoline” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=43). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gas-or-gasoline (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP