Will Donald Trump say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 17 of 48 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 21, 2026 (35%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=48, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

26%from settlement history only · n=48counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 9 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

Probability
26% · n=48
Settled
17/48 (35%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 46:31In transcript

…is gone. Some of number three, and now I have nobody to negotiate with. The My biggest problem, nobody wants to be president of Iran.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 53 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 7, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Sep 12, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Sep 11, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationPolymarketNo0
Sep 10, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Sep 3, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Aug 30, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Aug 25, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Aug 13, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Aug 10, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Aug 5, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Aug 4, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Aug 4, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Jul 28, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 22, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes1
Jul 20, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Jul 17, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jul 16, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Jul 13, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Jul 8, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jul 8, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 20, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 17, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 15, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes2
Jun 4, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo0
May 30, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
May 27, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation KalshiYes–
May 8, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Apr 21, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Apr 15, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Apr 13, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Apr 12, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Apr 8, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Apr 6, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Apr 1, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Mar 25, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Mar 24, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Mar 11, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Mar 4, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Mar 3, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–
Mar 2, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo–
Feb 21, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 17 of 48 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 21, 2026 (35%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=48). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/negotiate-or-negotiated-or-negotiation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP