Will Donald Trump say “TrumpRX”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “TrumpRX” at 12 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 1, 2026 (35%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=34, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
TrumpRX
- Probability
- 14% · n=34
- Settled
- 12/34 (35%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 39 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | TrumpRX |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 13, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 12, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 9, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 7, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 5, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 2, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 1, 2026 | TrumpRX |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 1, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 29, 2026 | TrumpRx | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 18, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | TrumpRx | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 14, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| May 27, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 18, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 18, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 11, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 5, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 3, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 3, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 1, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 23, 2026 | TrumpRx | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | TrumpRX | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | TrumpRx | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 1, 2026 | TrumpRX | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “TrumpRX”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “TrumpRX” at 12 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 1, 2026 (35%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “TrumpRX” next time?
- 14%, from settlement history (n=34). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘TrumpRX’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trumprx (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trumprx · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP