Will Donald Trump say “Deal” 15+ times?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Deal” 15+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Deal 15+ times
- Probability
- 37% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are nicer ways for you to make a living. You want to deal with these maniacs? You can deal if you want, but there are…
…I announced it. I thought it was going to be a big deal. Nobody even covered it. I took a because you know that if…
…successful bipartisan effort to pass the Take It Down Act, a big deal.And it went almost, I think, unanimously through Congress. We are very bipartisan.…
…day, right? You know, somebody said, somebody said that Evander, the real deal, Holyfield is here. Where is Evander? Is here. Oh, look at him.…
…American taxpayers are tired of it. We want Zelenskyy to make a deal. He can make a deal. He could have made a deal two…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Deal 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Deal 15+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Deal 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Deal” 15+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Deal 15+ times” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Deal 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/deal-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deal%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP