Will Donald Trump say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 33 of 114 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=114, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

31%from settlement history only · n=114counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Probability
31% · n=114
Settled
33/114 (29%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · our count 1 · the market settled no

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Donald Trumpspeaker54:38In transcript

…help for their kids who have autism to not be able to afford it. So, let's fast forward what this meant. We -- after hearing…

The Vice Presidentother48:14In transcript

…feed the needy, that help ensure that a young mom who can't afford a doctor can get access to a doctor for her kids. It…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Oct 19, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 15, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 12, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 9, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 5, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 3, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 28, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketYes–
Sep 28, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Sep 18, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo–
Sep 18, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 16, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 12, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo0
Sep 12, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo0
Sep 12, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Sep 12, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Sep 11, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo0
Sep 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo0
Sep 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketYes5
Sep 9, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes5
Sep 8, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 31, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Aug 30, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Aug 28, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 25, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes3
Aug 24, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Aug 21, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketYes5
Aug 21, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes5
Aug 20, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPolymarketNo–
Aug 20, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Aug 14, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes5
Aug 13, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Aug 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 6, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 6, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo0
Aug 5, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes3

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 33 of 114 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
31%, from settlement history (n=114). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP