Will Donald Trump say “Autopen”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Autopen” at 18 of 46 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (39%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=46, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

29%from settlement history only · n=46Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=autopen

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Autopen

Probability
29% · n=46
Settled
18/46 (39%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 47 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 17, 2026AutopenKalshiNo0
Jul 24, 2026AutopenKalshiNo0
Jun 22, 2026AutopenKalshiYes1
Jun 13, 2026AutopenKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026AutopenKalshiNo0
May 24, 2026AutopenPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window))
May 10, 2026AutopenPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
May 5, 2026AutopenKalshiNo–
Apr 25, 2026AutopenPolymarketNo–
Apr 23, 2026AutopenKalshiNo–
Mar 31, 2026AutopenPolymarketNo–
Mar 31, 2026AutopenKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026AutopenPolymarketNo–
Mar 15, 2026AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 8, 2026AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 1, 2026AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 4, 2026AutopenKalshiNo–
Dec 20, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Dec 19, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes–
Dec 4, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Nov 30, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Nov 26, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Nov 12, 2025AutopenPolymarketNo–
Nov 2, 2025AutopenPolymarketNo–
Oct 19, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Oct 7, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Sep 2, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Aug 16, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Aug 15, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes–
Aug 8, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Aug 6, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Jul 30, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Jul 22, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Jul 22, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Jul 15, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
Jul 3, 2025AutopenPolymarketNo–
Jul 3, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2025AutopenKalshiYes–
May 30, 2025AutopenKalshiNo–
May 2, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 20, 2025AutopenPolymarketNo–
Mar 17, 2025AutopenPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Autopen”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Autopen” at 18 of 46 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (39%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Autopen” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=46). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Autopen’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/autopen (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=autopen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP