Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 2, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 26, 2025 to May 2, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
10 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| First Lady | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rocket | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crimea | Yes | – | 0 | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pocahontas | No | – | 0 | 48%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | – | 0 | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Powell | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 21%n=82 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-968 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP