Donald Trump: Posts window, May 24, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (May 24)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
31 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| New York | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Television / TV | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Chair | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crooked | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Big / Bigger / Biggest | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Gun | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dad / Daddy | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | – | 0 | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Scam / Hoax | No | – | 0 | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Shit / Fuck / Fucked | No | – | 0 | 44%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| IQ | No | – | 0 | 44%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | – | 0 | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | No | – | 0 | 42%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | 41%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Critic | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shenanigan | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tina | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Treason / Treasonous | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harvard | No | – | 0 | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | – | 0 | 39%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Restaurant | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Autopen | No | – | 0 | 37%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Gene / Genetic | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Central Casting | No | – | 0 | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 30%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Cocaine | No | – | 0 | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-may-24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP