Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 26, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Greek Independence Day event on March 26?
Markets
20 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York | Yes | 62%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Friend of mine | Yes | 52%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Culture / Heritage | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cyprus | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greek / Greece / Hellenic 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kimberly / Guilfoyle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Orthodox | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 69%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 53%n=123 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 52%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | 52%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 48%n=213 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Freedom or Death | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Job 8+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ottoman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Proclamation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Monroe / Donroe | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golden Age | No | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 8%n=318 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-greek-independence-day-event-on-march-26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP