Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 17, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say at Kennedy Center event today?
Markets
21 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 61%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 60%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 55%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 51%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JFK / John F. Kennedy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trans | No | 51%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Beautiful 5+ times | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Marxist | No | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion 10+ times | No | 42%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Art 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drag | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Feminist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Propaganda | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Traditional | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 25%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 9%n=68 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-at-kennedy-center-event-today · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP