Donald Trump: Weekly window, Oct 19, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (October 13 - October 19)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Oct 13, 2025 to Oct 19, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Erdogan | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Abraham Accords | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Indonesia | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Teleprompter | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Moon | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel Peace Prize | No | – | 0 | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dam | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obamacare | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cognitive | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 22%n=135 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-october-13-october-19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP