Donald Trump: Podcast with The Second Lady, Jun 13, 2026
On the Jun 13, 2026 episode of Donald Trump, Donald Trump said 1 of the 17 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 61%n=267 from settlement history | – |
| First Term | No | 62%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 57%n=156 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Account | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 56%n=113 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 53%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 53%n=143 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 50%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 49%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 49%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 48%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 45%n=252 from settlement history | – |
| Rich | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Movie Star | No | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | 36%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 20%n=393 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-13:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-13:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP