Donald Trump: Remarks, Jul 30, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks on Making Health Technology Great Again?
Markets
30 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 76%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 75%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Trade | Yes | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Energy | Yes | 56%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Beautiful | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Kennedy | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 31%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | No | 54%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Pharmaceutical | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 39%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Drug | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Healthy Again / MAHA | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vaccine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Abortion | No | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Casey Means | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Device | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diabetes | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fat Shot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hate Our Country | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opioid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Smart | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Too Late | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 29%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Powell | No | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25JUL30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP