Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 20, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during today's Education Event?
Markets
21 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 61%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Denmark | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Education 7+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iowa | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Linda / McMahon | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manhattan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 65%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Elon | No | 60%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hell 5+ times | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trans | No | 45%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Beautiful 5+ times | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Disgrace / Disgraceful | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maxine / Waters | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Title 9 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million 10+ times | No | 35%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billion 10+ times | No | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 27%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 20%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 8%n=69 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-todays-education-event · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP