Will Donald Trump say “Knicks”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Knicks” at 2 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2026 (12%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Knicks
- Probability
- 34% · n=17
- Settled
- 2/17 (12%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Knicks |  Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (39 of 53 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Knicks |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 13 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | No | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Knicks | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Knicks | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Knicks”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Knicks” at 2 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2026 (12%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Knicks” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Knicks’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/knick (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=knick · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP