Will Donald Trump say “Swamp the Vote”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Swamp the Vote” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Swamp the Vote
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Swamp the Vote |  Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Swamp The Vote | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 13 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Swamp the Vote”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Swamp the Vote” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Swamp the Vote” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Swamp the Vote’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/swamp-the-vote (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=swamp%20the%20vote · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP