Will Donald Trump say “Jesus”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jesus” at 6 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 18, 2024 (43%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Jesus
- Probability
- 50% · n=14
- Settled
- 6/14 (43%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jesus |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Jesus |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Jesus | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Jesus | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Jesus | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Jesus | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Jesus | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Jesus”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jesus” at 6 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 18, 2024 (43%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Jesus” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Jesus’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/jesus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=jesus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP