Will Donald Trump say “Make America Great Again”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Make America Great Again” at 10 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (56%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Make America Great Again
- Probability
- 54% · n=18
- Settled
- 10/18 (56%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…again, healthy again, strong again, PROUD AGAIN, SAFE AGAIN. And most importantly, we will make America great again. Thank you very much, Florida. Thank you.
…again. We will make America safe again. And most importantly, we will make America great again. Thank you, Iowa. Thank you. God bless you all.
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Make America Great Again |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 13 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 17, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 3, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Make America Great Again | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Make America Great Again |  Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Make America Great Again”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Make America Great Again” at 10 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (56%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Make America Great Again” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Make America Great Again’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/make-america-great-again (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=make%20america%20great%20again · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP