Will Donald Trump say “Affordability”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Affordability” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Affordability
- Probability
- 55% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Affordability |  Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Affordability | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Affordability |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Affordability | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Affordability | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Affordability | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Affordability”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Affordability” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Affordability” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/affordability (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=affordability · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP