Will Donald Trump say “Egg”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Egg” at 22 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2025 (56%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=39, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 97¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Egg
- Probability
- 71% · n=39
- Settled
- 22/39 (56%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 43 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Egg |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 31 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Egg |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | 12 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| May 22, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 30, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 30, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Egg | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Egg | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Egg”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Egg” at 22 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2025 (56%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Egg” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=39). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Egg’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/egg (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=egg · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP