Will Donald Trump say “Mutilation / Mutilization”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mutilation / Mutilization” at 8 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 8/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mutilation / Mutilization
- Probability
- 73% · n=8
- Settled
- 8/8 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…stupid. They're so stupid. Don't forget, they're the ones that want transgender mutilization of your children. They want open borders. They want they want men…
…better get that changed. He voted in favor of taxpayer funded transgender mutilization surgeries and in favor of men in girls bathrooms. He wants men…
…darling. You're going to win big. Well, you see, they're into transgender mutilization. Me personally, I could do without her. They like transgender mutilization and…
…immigration laws. What they do is unbelievable what they do. It's transgender mutilation of our children, the craven hypocrites of Human Rights Council have little…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 17, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 3, 2026 | Mutilation / Mutilization | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mutilation / Mutilization”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mutilation / Mutilization” at 8 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mutilation / Mutilization” next time?
- 73%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mutilation / Mutilization’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mutilation-or-mutilization (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mutilation%20%2F%20mutilization · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP