Donald Trump: Remarks, Jun 17, 2026
Donald Trump: Working lunch with G7 Leaders and Tech CEOs
In remarks on Jun 17, 2026, Donald Trump said 0 of the 27 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
27 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | No | 76%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 70%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 61%n=157 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 58%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 55%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 54%n=119 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | No | 53%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 53%n=272 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 52%n=190 from settlement history | – |
| Electric / EV | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 47%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 47%n=255 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 43%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Security / Cybersecurity | No | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Pharmaceutical | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Sacks | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Regulate / Regulation / Regulator / Regulatory | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Car / Auto | No | 37%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | 36%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 36%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | No | 36%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 35%n=169 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 32%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 25%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Taiwan | No | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 3%n=399 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript overdue. We expected it from the official transcript (American Presidency Project); it has not appeared yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-17:remarks-working-lunch-g7 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-17:remarks-working-lunch-g7 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP