Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on June 11, Jun 11, 2026
At the rally on Jun 11, 2026, Donald Trump said 12 of the 20 words Polymarket listed.
UpdatedMarkets
20 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 63%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Get Out And Vote | Yes | 59%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 55%n=140 from settlement history | – |
| Border 5+ times | Yes | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 49%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Biden 2+ times | Yes | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hell | Yes | 48%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Football | Yes | 44%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 40%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Job 2+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| State 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America First | Yes | 38%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Citizenship | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Star | No | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 53%n=249 from settlement history | – |
| College | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Georgia 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | 30%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript overdue. We expected it from the official transcript (American Presidency Project); it has not appeared yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-11:rally-tele · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-11:rally-tele · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP