Will Donald Trump say “Star”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Star” at 6 of 9 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 7, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 6/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Star
- Probability
- 66% · n=9
- Settled
- 6/9 (67%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
…Office. Three very handsome men, beautiful. I mean, like they're like movie stars. These guys were central casting. Big, beautiful looking guys. Four-star generals. I…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Star |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 31, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Star | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Star | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Star”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Star” at 6 of 9 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 7, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Star” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Star’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/star (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=star · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP