Donald Trump: UFC Freedom 250, Jun 14, 2026
On Jun 14, 2026, Donald Trump said 3 of the 19 words Polymarket listed.
UpdatedMarkets
19 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greatest | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fight | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 60%n=267 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 57%n=113 from settlement history | – |
| America | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| White House | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Winner | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Washington | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Strong | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crazy / Amazing 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dana / White 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Incredible | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Miami | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Thank You 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | 39%n=77 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript overdue. We expected it from the official transcript (American Presidency Project); it has not appeared yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-14:other · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-14:other · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP