Will Donald Trump say “Warrior”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Warrior” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Warrior
- Probability
- 43% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group of warriors down here. A special ape you're going to have a great continuation…
…all. So Ashley Henson, on the other hand, is a mother, a warrior, a patriot, and she will never let far-left maniacs push the radical…
…these cyber criminals on offense and defense, we watch out for our warriors, we watch out for American citizens, and we secure the homeland. So,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Warrior |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Warrior | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Warrior | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Warrior |  Kalshi | No | – |
| May 24, 2025 | Warrior | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Warrior”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Warrior” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Warrior” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Warrior’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/warrior (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=warrior · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP