Will Donald Trump say “Pratt”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pratt” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 31, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
40%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pratt
- Probability
- 40% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Pratt |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Pratt | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Pratt | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Pratt | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Pratt | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pratt”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pratt” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 31, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pratt” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pratt’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pratt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pratt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP