Will Donald Trump say “No No No”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “No No No” at 13 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (41%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=32, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 74¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
No No No
- Probability
- 48% · n=32
- Settled
- 13/32 (41%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I did. You said you did have a candidate like that. No, no, no. This one is the worst. But this is the free state…
…candidate in Mexico are thrilled. Mexican president called me. She said, "No, no, no. Tell me it's not true. Please." She's a beautiful woman. A…
…said I'm thinking of the Atlantic ocean. Can you handle it? No, no, no. This time I'm not doing it. He said, he said, he
Every settled listing
newest first · 35 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | No No No |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 31, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 21, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 5, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 15, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 24, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 22, 2026 | No No No |  Kalshi | No | – |
| May 1, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 1, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 28, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 23, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 23, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 17, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 11, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 20, 2026 | No No No | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 19, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 8, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 1, 2026 | No No No | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “No No No”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “No No No” at 13 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (41%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “No No No” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=32). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘No No No’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/no-no-no (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=no%20no%20no · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP