Will Donald Trump say “Mog / Mogged / Mogging”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Mog / Mogged / Mogging” at any of the 29 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
24%from settlement history only · n=29counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mog / Mogged / Mogging
- Probability
- 24% · n=29
- Settled
- 0/29 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 29 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging |  Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 17, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 3, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mog / Mogged / Mogging | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mog / Mogged / Mogging”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Mog / Mogged / Mogging” at any of the 29 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mog / Mogged / Mogging” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mog / Mogged / Mogging’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mog-or-mogged-or-mogging (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mog%20%2F%20mogged%20%2F%20mogging · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP