Will Donald Trump say “Traitor”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Traitor” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Traitor
- Probability
- 35% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
The cowards and traitors. Thank you. Thank you. The cowards and traitors would love to say the United States is low on munitions, but that's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Traitor |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 11 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Traitor | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Traitor | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Traitor | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 17, 2026 | Traitor | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Traitor | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Traitor”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Traitor” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Traitor” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Traitor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/traitor (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=traitor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP