Will Donald Trump say “Interest rate”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Interest rate” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Interest rate
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Interest rate |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Interest rate | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Interest rate”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Interest rate” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Interest rate” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Interest rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/interest-rate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=interest%20rate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP